LTE med kolossalt vækstpotentiale
Analysefirmaet Maravedis forventer, at der vil være over 300 LTE operatører og 350 mio. abonnenter i 2016 (in english).
Maravedis is a leading global provider of market intelligence and advisory services focusing on 4G and broadband wireless technologies, regulation and markets. The company has just released the '4G Deployment and Subscriber Forecasts 2011-2016', where Maravedis predicts over 350 million LTE subscribers by 2016, while the number of WiMAX subscribers should reach 50 million.
- Market forecasts have been revised to reflect the economic slowdown and the progress made by the LTE ecosystem, says Maravedis Research Director Adlane Fellah.
With over 600 WiMAX deployments, 185 devices and 62 base stations certified, the worldwide WIMAX industry accounted for over 13 million subscribers projected at the end of 2010. The WiMAX subscriber market share breakdown by standard was 57% mobile, 25% fixed and 17% proprietary in Q2 2010.
Maravedis also anticipates that 14 LTE networks will be operational worldwide by the end of 2010.
- The list of operators committed to LTE has grown to 127 members as of the end of Q3 2010," . As several 4G spectrum auctions take place before the end of the year (notably in Europe), more operators will feel the need to solidify their plans regarding LTE, says report co-author Esteban Monturus.
- iMAX remains a viable alternative for broadband connectivity, particularly where migration to full mobility is not expected, says Cintia Garza, Senior Analyst.
- While the issue of migration to LTE/TD-LTE equipment is being met, operators must still consider how the subscriber device base can converted. The use of multiple-mode WiMAX/LTE is an option now worth considering.
Among the keyfindings is:
• LTE smartphone users will represent half of the new LTE subscribers reaching 130 million by 2016.
• TD-LTE subscribers should reach 40 million by 2016, with the bulk in China and India.
• LTE adoption rate will reach 32% in the fifth year after commercial launch.
www.maravedis.com
